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Economic Update 3-11-2019

  • Economic data for the week, with a delayed schedule still affected by the government shutdown, showed positive results for ISM non-manufacturing/services and housing, coupled with a lackluster February employment report, which looked to have strongly negative winter weather effects.
  • Equity markets declined by several percent globally, due to concerns over world growth, with a stronger U.S. dollar punishing local returns a bit more for foreign stock markets. In fixed income, safe haven U.S. government bonds gained ground, while high yield struggled. Commodities were little changed, in keeping with a rare calm week for crude oil prices.
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Economic Update 2-20-2018 

  • In a busy week for economic releases, highlights included weakness in retail sales and some hints of increasing inflation as measured by import prices, PPI and CPI.  On the positive side, manufacturing continues to look robust in several regional surveys and jobless claims remain very low.
  • Equity markets around the globe gained sharply on the week to rebound from their recent correction.  Bonds fell back again as interest rates inched higher in reaction to higher inflation and expectations of stronger growth.  Commodities regained some ground as well, led by higher crude oil prices and a weaker dollar.